Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.023171 0.024986 0.026878 0.028997 0.031307 0.033751 0.036534
2025-12-07 0.020035 0.022620 0.025455 0.028803 0.032657 0.036966 0.042163
2025-12-14 0.017917 0.020922 0.024345 0.028549 0.033593 0.039473 0.046885
2025-12-21 0.016513 0.019815 0.023695 0.028614 0.034720 0.042093 0.051738
2025-12-28 0.015290 0.018774 0.022975 0.028451 0.035448 0.044157 0.055924
2026-01-04 0.014332 0.017959 0.022434 0.028411 0.036250 0.046279 0.060233
2026-01-11 0.013578 0.017329 0.022058 0.028513 0.037188 0.048569 0.064843
2026-01-18 0.012893 0.016734 0.021668 0.028543 0.037989 0.050677 0.069288
2026-01-25 0.012347 0.016278 0.021420 0.028724 0.038971 0.053046 0.074202
2026-02-01 0.011684 0.015622 0.020857 0.028424 0.039245 0.054411 0.077725
2026-02-08 0.011024 0.014932 0.020205 0.027950 0.039222 0.055324 0.080602
2026-02-15 0.010538 0.014454 0.019815 0.027815 0.039662 0.056904 0.084540
2026-02-22 0.010019 0.013923 0.019347 0.027575 0.039984 0.058400 0.088571
2026-03-01 0.009561 0.013457 0.018951 0.027421 0.040425 0.060107 0.093065
2026-03-08 0.009117 0.012987 0.018522 0.027186 0.040719 0.061585 0.097273
2026-03-15 0.008790 0.012672 0.018301 0.027248 0.041463 0.063796 0.102810
2026-03-22 0.008430 0.012289 0.017956 0.027093 0.041845 0.065432 0.107474
2026-03-29 0.008127 0.011974 0.017699 0.027056 0.042403 0.067371 0.112769
2026-04-05 0.007877 0.011730 0.017534 0.027153 0.043177 0.069700 0.118893
2026-04-12 0.007627 0.011474 0.017336 0.027181 0.043830 0.071850 0.124830
2026-04-19 0.007426 0.011283 0.017231 0.027352 0.044725 0.074457 0.131772
2026-04-26 0.007135 0.010938 0.016865 0.027068 0.044819 0.075655 0.136148
2026-05-03 0.006827 0.010553 0.016415 0.026619 0.044596 0.076268 0.139435